The Reds are a legit contender for two reasons:
They are playing well and baseball is a watered down sport.
When you have the best pitching staff in the National League, you have to be taken as serious player in the race.
I still think the Reds need to acquire a Jermaine Dye type player if they are going to win the World Series. Aaron Rowand could be a nice pick-up as well. The Reds only have two weaknesses. They have a terrible bench and they lack enough pop to comeback in a game if they get down 3-4 runs in a game.
I think their weakest link is Center Field Willy Taveras is not an everyday. He would be a great bench player or situational player in October.
The Reds other concern is bench depth. However, if they acquire a Jermaine Dye type.....Gomes and Nix would be great sticks off the bench. Although, I really like Lance Nix, he may have a huge year. Surprisingly, Hanagan seems like a serviceable catcher.
Edwin Encarncion is close to returning which scares me. He can only screw up the Karma, fire, and great insticts that Rosales and Hairston have brought to the team. Rosales isn't very talented but he is a winner who gets his job accomplished in whatever situation he is called upon.
Other things that worry me down the stretch:
1) Arroyo only has a 32/22 BB to strikeout ratio. That is a receipt for disaster when you give up as many HRs as he does.
2) Homer Bailey's career - The reason why he is so unsuccessful is that he can't throw his curveball from the same arm slot as his fastball. He might as well just tell good hitters what pitchers are coming. If they really want him to be successful.......they should send him back to High A ball and breakdown his mechanics until he is a completely different and revamp pitcher.
3) Jay Bruce - I think everyone is right about him being the next Larry Walker. However in 2009, he looks more like an Adam Dunn. I realize he is just 22 so I don't mean to rip on him but I will anyway. He is terrible defensively, he is a horrible situational hitter, and is over matched by pitchers with good stuff. On the plus side, he has the most unbelievable opposite field power as any Red of all-time.....alot like Josh Hamilton.
4) Micah Owings - I can't see him ever becoming more than a 5th starter. we got abused in that trade with Arizona.
5) Dusty Baker - please keep our pitchers healthy.
Things I love about this team:
1) Harang, Volquez, Cueto - The only pitching staff that can rival Cincy is Dan Haren, Brandon Webb, and Max Scherzer. (PS. Arizona will win the National League in 2010.....go to Vegas and bet it)
2) The bullpen - The Reds are something like 23-1 when leading after 7 innings.
CoCo hasn't blown a save.....and he looks nasty.
I also think Herrera is going to be a solid left handed specialist in the 7th inning.
David Weathers - is still getting people out in critical situations.
Aurthur Rhodes - wow was I wrong about him. He has been amazing.
3) Ramon Hernandez - I thought this guy could hit in April......but he is a much better hitter than I even thought. I love his approach at the plate.....love it. He tries to drive the ball ahead in the count and he protects the plate, uses the entire field when even or down in the count. He is very impressive.....and he will go on a power surge very soon. He only has 2 homers.....look for him to finish between 16-22 HRs. In addition to his bat, he has played great defensively at 1B in Votto's absence. He sucks behind the dish....but I still think he has been as valuable as any Red not named Votto.
4) Votto - or should I say Vottomatic. Best Reds hitter of our lifetime.
I think the NL Central will come down to Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainright vs Cueto, Volquez, and Harang. The Reds have a better bullpen and the better offense. Hopefully, Dusty walks Albert every time. Also, Let's pray Jake Peavy doesn't go to the Cubs.
I think it's going to be a Red October